It is the 19th of September 2019

News

UBS Reveals The Stunning Reason Behind The 2017 Stock Market Rally

It's 2018 forecast time for the big banks. With Goldman unveiling its seven Top Trades for 2018 earlier, overnight it was also UBS' turn to reveal its price targets for the S&P in the coming year, and not surprisingly, the largest Swiss bank was extremely bullish, so much so in fact that its base case is roughly where Goldman expects the S&P to be some time in the 2020s (at least until David Kostin revises his price forecast shortly).

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Deutsche Bank Downgraded, Fitch "No Longer Expects Franchise To Recover This Year"

Fitch has downgraded Deutsche Bank to BBB+ from A- due to continued pressure on earnings, combined with concerns over the prolonged implementation of its recovery strategy.

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"The World's Most Feared Investor" Lashes Out At Safe Spaces

Several days after Paul Singer released his much anticipated letter to investors (key excerpts here), the founder of Elliott Management was profiled on Bloomberg as the "most feared activist investor in the world—by hedge fund rivals, companies and even countries", and for good reason. Singer’s Elliott Management, which manages $34 billion of assets, has not only rarely been out of the headlines the past 18 months - in the process targeting the world’s biggest mining company, taking on Warren Buffett, ousting CEOs on both sides of the Atlantic and setting off a chain of events that led to the impeachment of South Korea’s president - but as shown in the table at the bottom, has generated unprecedented and consistent returns, putting the rest of the activist sector to shame.

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UBS Has Some Very Bad News For The Global Economy

At the end of February we first highlighted something extremely troubling for the global "recovery" narrative: according to UBS the global credit impulse - the second derivative of credit growth and arguably the biggest driver behind economic growth and world GDP - had abruptly stalled, as a result of a sudden and unexpected collapse in said impulse.

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How The US Government Let A Giant Bank Pin A Scandal On A Former Employee

The following is an excerpt from David Enrich's nonfiction financial and legal thriller The Spider Network: The Wild Story of a Math Genius, a Gang of Backstabbing Bankers, and One of the Greatest Scams in Financial History.  (Read part of the prologue here; another excerpt can be found here) This excerpt takes place shortly after the accused mastermind of the Libor scandal, Tom Hayes, is fired from his job at Citigroup, kicking government investigations into interest-rate-rigging into a higher gear.

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