It is the 21st of November 2019

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Goldman: These Are The Three Biggest Risks Facing Stocks In 2018

When it comes to the most influential investment bank in the world, Goldman Sachs, its 2018 outlook is borderline euphoric despite the bank’s own explicit admission that valuations have never been higher. In a tortured, goalseeked analysis which we discussed last week, the bank’s chief equity strategist David Kostin said that he expects a year of “rational exuberance” catalyzed by the Trump tax cuts becoming law (some time in early 2018), leading to an upward revised year-end S&P price target of 2,850 (from 2,500 previously) and rising to 3,100 by 2020 (Kostin’s “irrationally exuberant” parallel universe sees the S&P rising above 5,000 as the equity bubble repeats the events of the late 1990s – more here).

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Gold Gains As Stocks Slide, Yield Curve Crashes, & Dollar Dumps

Economic Data continues to surprise to the upside (compared to what had been terrible expectations)...is this as good as it gets?

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UBS Reveals The Stunning Reason Behind The 2017 Stock Market Rally

It's 2018 forecast time for the big banks. With Goldman unveiling its seven Top Trades for 2018 earlier, overnight it was also UBS' turn to reveal its price targets for the S&P in the coming year, and not surprisingly, the largest Swiss bank was extremely bullish, so much so in fact that its base case is roughly where Goldman expects the S&P to be some time in the 2020s (at least until David Kostin revises his price forecast shortly).

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Goldman Discovers Something Odd: Stock Moves Are Increasing Even As Index Moves Are Decreasing

One wouldn't know it by looking at the moves in equity indexes, but this earnings season has been unusually volatile for stocks, which however has yet to translate into bigger moves at the macro level. That is the bizarre observation made by Goldman's derivatives strategist John Marshall (whose team grew by one when ex-Deutsche Banker Rocky Fishman joined recently).

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There Are No Cheap Stocks Anymore... Literally

The S&P is substantially overvalued on 18 of 20 valuation metrics, with the only exceptions being free cash flow (helped again by depressed capex), and relative to small caps/bonds - the Fed's favorite indicator -  where yields remain depressed thanks to the Fed's failure to stimulate wage inflation for nearly 9 years.

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"Investors Can't Stop Buying Every Dip": The WSJ Explains Why Markets Soar To New Highs Every Day

International equity markets seem to effortlessly surge to brand new record highs with each passing day.  As we note fairly frequently, declines have grown shallower over the past two years and the S&P 500 has now gone 246 trading days without trading more than 3% below its record high, the longest streak ever for the index, according to LPL Financial. Meanwhile, the S&P hasn’t had a decline of 10% or more from a recent peak since February 2016.

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