It is the 15th of September 2019

News

Bad Santa Buys Bonds, Bullion, & Bitcoin; Rotten Apple Spoils Promised Stock Rally

This was not teh Santa Claus rally that everyone was promised...

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McCain Mania Sends Dow Soaring To Record Highs As Yield Curve Collapse Continues

The longest short-squeeze streak in history continues...

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BMO Sees Risk Of Curve Inverting "As Early As March 2018"

Over the weekend, we published an analysis from Citigroup looking at how long after the yield curve inverts do investors "have to worry."  The results were interesting: as Citi wrote, while sometimes inversion provides a timely signal for the economic cycle a la 2000, "where Professor Curve predicted almost the ding-dong high in the SPX", other times, like the 2006 inversion, dished up 7 months of pain for equity bears, with 18% further upside for the SPX. The same occurred for the 1989 episode where equities continued to rally 22% into the 1990 recession.

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Hunting Angels: What The World's Most Bearish Hedge Fund Will Short Next

It's not easy being "the world's most bearish hedge fund", a description we first conceived nearly three years ago, and one look at Horseman Capital's returns over the past three years confirms it: after generating market-beating returns for much of its existence, things went bad in 2015, and much worse in 2016...

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Gold Gains As Stocks Slide, Yield Curve Crashes, & Dollar Dumps

Economic Data continues to surprise to the upside (compared to what had been terrible expectations)...is this as good as it gets?

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